Thursday, March 19, 2026

Disappointing But, Not Shocking

 I would hate to have to detail the number of times I have heard the admonition to "Never meet your heroes."  

We in the Western world (and possibly others as well) have a bad habit of ascribing unseen positive characteristics to individuals that we have seen do some important and positive things.  As a kid, I could not believe that those incredibly gorgeous women of Hollywood could have possibly done anything that could justify divorcing them.  As an adult, I know better.  I phrased that on purpose.  I'm better at it but, I am not perfect at it. I still generally have a more positive view of folks if I know they have unrelated positive things in other circumstances. 

The recent revelations about Cesar Chavez, regardless of their accuracy and truthfulness, should not reflect on the actual good things he validly did.  Rather it should function as a reminder to all of us that if a given entity is human, they are most likely flawed.  Not flawed in every way but, with flaws definitely in the mix.  

In the "guy" community a common thing to say to another guy upon observing a particularly attractive female is "Rule #1".  Rule 1 is pretty simple.  "No matter how good she looks, somewhere there is some guy that is tired of putting up with her shit." (I really needed to know that rule as a kid)  We say it because we can be blinded by beauty and the reminder (might) help.  I suggest we extrapolate.  Whatever human you are describing as flawless, be it Mother Teresa or our orange menace, you are wrong.  There is a flaw there and if history is the guide, the flaw may well be as impactful as whatever good they do.

At the end of the day, the flaws do not erase the good they do and the good does not erase their flaws.  Meet your heroes if you must but, worshiping your heroes is the path to disappointment.

Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Granting Permission

 When I was a kid, newborn until I left for boot camp, my family lived in the inner-city.  Now, as it turns out we were poor but, some of our neighbors were much closer to middle-class.  That made a bit of a difference in what you had but doubtless due to our shared culture, it did not make much of a difference in what you did.

One of the things we did was play.  We didn't have big, well-maintained parks but we did have lightly traveled streets so, a lot of our play occurred there.  We would play a heavily modified version of football.  Typically, rather than tackling our unpadded friends and family to the hard and hot asphalt, we would play "two hand touch".  For the most part, we did not engage in full contact.  We played with the largest even number that could be gotten from the group that showed up but, even when it was an odd number, we altered the rules a bit and had the quarterback play for both sides or some other workaround.  

We played basketball, inside courts when we could but if there was sufficient light and it was not storming, outside courts would not be avoided either.  We looked around at who was there and agreed on a format.  One-on-one, two-on-two, etc up to five-on-five, we made it work.  We played half-court or full-court according to the conditions.  

Regardless of whether we were playing football, basketball, baseball, dodgeball, kickball everyone knew and agreed to the rules and traditions of the field or neighborhood or group.  Making up new rules mid-game was not a thing.  We tacitly agreed to the rules and granted permission for the others playing to enjoy the same freedoms and restrictions.

Again, we were kids playing and most of us came from poor or near-poor families.  As such, we did not have the money to hire referees or umpires or judges.  We knew the rules and we abided by them - unless we didn't.  A kid that routinely violated or ignored those rules and traditions would likely find themselves in the last group when teams were being chosen or even simply left on the sidelines.  The only power we had to enforce those rules was to avoid the rule breakers.  At the end of the day, everyone had to play by the same rules regardless of whether they made one better or worse at the game.

Oddly enough, war has some similarities to the play we engaged in as kids.  That should probably not be especially shocking given that I went from playing in the street to wearing a uniform and following orders in a disturbingly short period of time.

A given nation/military will decide, or have a decision foisted upon them, which other nation/militaries they wish to fight alongside.  Essentially they are choosing their team.  While prior allegiances and traditions will heavily influence which team chooses which player, news that nations who are allies in other paradigms are on opposing sides isn't really news.  It happens and it happens with sufficient frequency as to be largely unremarkable when it happens.

Another aspect of our play that shows up in the military is the establishment of rules that will apply in the conflict.  We grant others, and in turn are granted by them, permission to operate fully within the parameters established by those rules.  When our cartoonish SecDef Pete Kegsbreath illegally and unadvisably called for "no quarter", he was establishing the rules by which our team would operate.  Unfortunately, traditionally the phrase is an abbreviation.  The full statement is "No quarter shall be asked or given". 

Here is what Wikipedia has to say about it.  "No quarter asked or given" is a military term meaning that combatants will not take prisoners, offering no mercy and expecting none in return; those who surrender are killed. It signifies a fight to the death, which is considered a war crime under international law and the Hague Conventions."

He was effectively giving "the opposing team" permission to treat our team as barbarically as they see fit.  He did this unilaterally.  As far as I have been able to discern, he has not walked back or clarified his statement.  He is standing by granting Iran and their allies permission to do anything they so desire to our troops whether they are wounded and helpless, attempting to surrender, or otherwise incapacitated.  I really want you to think about this.  Most of our military work in support roles.  Intel, logistics, communications, engineering - those sorts of things.  The direct combat folk are frequently (and reasonably accurately) described as "the tip of the spear".  The opposing team is not going to care and probably will not even know your prescribed role.  If "no quarter" is the understanding then the daughter who signed up to get money for college and works in the mail room on the ship or base, will be treated the same as the Rambo-esque Marine in your mind.  Which is to say, they will be unceremoniously killed or tortured or both should the other team have the opportunity.

Most of our allies have a different relationship with war than does the USA.  We are geographically privileged with friendly neighbors and two ginormous oceans to protect us.  They see war up close.  They don't have to wait for the 6 o'clock news, they can walk outside and look around to see as much unimaginable horror as they can stand.  Those allies, and those who are ostensibly unaligned, were not consulted about what the parameters and rules of the conflict would be.  They know that they can be held legally and/or politically liable for anything that happens to their sons and daughters if they agree to "play" by those illegal rules.  So far, they are all making the rational, moral and obvious decision to stay out of the fray for now.

If you have a son or daughter in the U.S. military, you should probably go ahead and contact a lawyer to sue POTUS and SecDef should they suffer as a result of that particular illegality.  Whatever happens to your loved ones will happen because those two unqualified entertainers ignorantly granted Iran permission to do that.

Multi-Trick 3

I stumbled across a story detailing a very positive aspect of the potential of AI (which I still believe would be better understood as "MI" for Manufactured Intelligence rather than Artificial.  As is traditional, the Universe appears to not care that I am right.).  I decided that Google Gemini was the correct author for this post.  Everything below this opening paragraph is copied straight from Gemini.  This is an incredible use case but I will admit that demonstrations of this level of power and potential are quite likely to gain the attention of bad actors with limited resources.  Security must be a primary concern but, we can't and shouldn't halt human progress because a few will abuse the advancements.  But we really need to be careful.


The story you're looking for is about Paul Conyngham, an Australian tech entrepreneur and machine learning expert who used a combination of AI tools—most notably AlphaFold and ChatGPT—to develop a personalized cancer vaccine for his rescue dog, Rosie.

While the headlines often say he "cured" his dog, the reality is a bit more nuanced: the treatment successfully shrank her terminal tumors by about 75% and significantly improved her quality of life, though he and his veterinary team are still working on resistant areas of the cancer.

🔗 Key Links to the Story


🛠️ How He Did It

Conyngham didn't just "ask an AI for a cure"; he used his data science background to orchestrate a complex biological workflow:

  1. Genomic Sequencing: He paid $3,000 to have Rosie’s healthy DNA and tumor DNA sequenced at the University of New South Wales (UNSW).

  2. Identifying Mutations: He used ChatGPT to help him analyze the 320GB of raw data to find the specific mutations driving the cancer.

  3. Protein Modeling (AlphaFold): He used AlphaFold to model the 3D structure of the mutated proteins (specifically the c-KIT protein) to see how they differed from healthy ones.

  4. Vaccine Design: Based on these models, he identified "neoantigens"—targets the immune system could recognize—and drafted a formula for an mRNA vaccine.

  5. Expert Collaboration: He took his findings to the UNSW RNA Institute, where real-world scientists verified his work and physically manufactured the vaccine.

⚠️ A Touch of Context

While this is a triumph for "citizen science," experts note a few "don't try this at home" caveats:

  • Technical Skill: Conyngham has 17 years of experience in machine learning; he wasn't a total novice to data.

  • The "Cure" Label: One tumor shrank 75%, but others were resistant. It’s an ongoing treatment rather than a final "cure."

  • Concurrent Therapy: Rosie was also receiving standard immunotherapy, making it hard for scientists to prove exactly how much of the success came from the AI-designed vaccine alone.

Thursday, March 12, 2026

Seriously???

 Sending Barron to boot camp and advanced infantry training would increase the chances of me actually believing the war with Iran was truly necessary.

I mean, I'm not an idiot so I do understand that Felon47 is willing to throw any of his offspring not named Ivanka under bus or turn them to cannon fodder but, I know he doesn't want them to know that.

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Multi-Trick Pony 2

 I have frequently, perhaps too frequently for some, pointed out that one of the major flaws with most folk's attempts to predict the future is that they pick one thing to change and then metaphorically place that one changed thing in the current paradigm.  

I rightly and accurately point out that while things are changing, things change.  The change(s) is not limited to mobile phones or computers or smart whatever's.  Case in point, the video you should definitely watch here, shows potential for as impactful a change as can happen short of AGI/ASI.

If there are flaws in the video that I would have caught had I more (read: any) education in that field, don't be shy.  Point them out on the page so that no one else need recreate my missteps.  Otherwise, feel free to share widely but, do understand it is not my video.

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

 Within the USA, actual intentional voter fraud is nearly non-existent and when it does happen, it is unlikely to be an immigrant or anyone on the left.

Politician fraud OTOH, is as common as a Grindr profile at a republican gathering.

Monday, March 9, 2026

Multi-Trick Pony

 The world is currently in the process of driving me batshit crazy.  Well, I say it is the world but in truth, it is pretty much just the USA and Russia.  Mostly, it is the political scene in the USA.  I have had to cut back on some of my news watching for the sake of what sanity I have left.  Luckily, I have other interests

I do consider myself a futurist and I generally pay pretty close attention to technology and science trends and news.  As is true in other endeavors, the fact of something isn't necessarily the thing you pay attention to.  Rather it is how that fact or change or new tech etc etc etc, will affect life in the future.

The attached video does a pretty good job of explaining the dimensions and output of a new electric motor design.  The motor it focuses on is rated for 1000hp.  For reference, the engine in a big rig or a large class A RV would typically have an output of 400-600hp.  The video is easily worth the watch.

I do not know what use cases are actually planned for the motor.  In my mind, adding a couple of these 30lb motors and perhaps a 200lb battery/controller to a big rig could make a real difference.  The rigs could use the electric motors to initiate motion from a stop without the typical plume of diesel exhaust hitting the air.  It could make going uphill with a full load something that doesn't have to back traffic up.  Fuel might well be saved and rather than the noise of the "Jake brake" slowing could be used just to charge the battery back up.  There is a ton of potential for savings on fuel, time, air pollution, and noise.

Of course, some folk will bitch for whatever reason they want to bitch about it but, the potential is still there. The future is coming whether you are "here for it" or not.